Market data and statistics
While providing market data is not a core service, we do provide industry data as it becomes available.
|Year||Week 20||Year to date||Annual total||Carcass weight||Average kg|
The table below shows the comparison between the volume of imported pig meat (reported as carcass weight equivalent) with domestic production. This data is updated monthly as soon as the imports data is available, so it lags domestic production data. Population data updated monthly.
|Date||IMPORTED PROD Year ending (t CWE)||DOMESTIC PROD year ending (t CWE)||Tonnes TOTAL PROD||IMPORTS %||POPULATION (000)||TOTAL CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA||Kg 100% NZPork||Kg Pork imports|
Cereals: February 2018
|Barley||415-450||-40 to 75||405-415||-80 to 85||375-380||-30|
|Maize||420-440||-25 to 30||415-425||-65 to 75||na||na|
|Wheat||425-460||-30 to 65||420-430||-50 to 60||380||-20 to 30|
At a glance – prices easing as harvest commences
In the upper North Island, barley harvest is reported as "50% through, with yields average and quality good especially in Hawkes Bay." In Southern North Island the harvest started early in the Wairarapa and at this stage quality and yields described as "a mixed bag," with some high screenings reported. In the Manawatu /Rangitikei early crops appear to have been more affected by the dry spell in November, than the crops sown later. The protein levels for malting barley are higher than specifications so there will be 'reject' malting barley available for stock feed. These crops are quite short, meaning there will be less straw. The crops sown later that received rain at the right time are looking better and yield and quality potential are expected to be good if the current harvest conditions hold. Given the factors reported above, and the fact that more late crops were planted after it became too late for wheat, the expectant result is that there "will be more around" post harvest.
The South Island is described as being "in the thick of harvest," which started two weeks earlier than normal as some crops "matured early." Some early dryland crops are reported as being 'thin' with higher screenings and lower yields, while the later sown crops that did get some rain "look better" and the expectation is for good quality and yields. This is better than expected, following the record 40 day dry spell when it "looked like a disaster."
Foundation for Arable Research (FAR) Harvest Snippets report the results of barley yield trials and these are summarised below:
- A trial with a number of cultivars of irrigated autumn sown barley at Chertsey, harvested 15th January averaged 12.3 tonne/ha up on the 4 year average of 8.2 tonne/ha.
- A trial with a number of cultivars of dryland autumn sown barley at Gore, harvested on 17th January averaged 6.4 tonnes/ha down on the 4 year average of 8.1 tonne/ha.
Harvesting underway, yields are down. Supply limited.
Supply is still tight and "hard to come by." In the North Island, harvesting has commenced. Yields are expected to be lower than average, which will compound the supply shortage due of the lower acreage planted, the result of poor and late sowing conditions in the spring. In the South Island, crops have suffered from poor growing conditions. Yields are "down on average" and "disappointing yields for both spring and autumn sown crops," but quality is "expected to be ok." The lower yields are demonstrated from the results of FAR field trials.
FAR Harvest Snippets report the results of wheat yield trials and these are summarised below:
- A trial at Chertsey with a number of cultivars of autumn sown dryland wheat harvested 9th January averaged 5.0 tonne/ha down on the 4 year average of 8.2 tonne.
- A trial at Chertsey with a number of cultivars of autumn sown irrigated wheat harvested 25th January averaged 11.5 tonne/ha which was 1.3 tonne down on the 4 year average.
- A trial at Dorie with a number of cultivars of autumn sown irrigated wheat, sown 12th June and harvested 19th January, yielded 9.6 tonne/ha down on the four year average of 10.5 tonne/ha.
- A trial at St Andrews with a number of cultivars of autumn sown dryland wheat harvested 27th January, averaged 8.7 tonne/ha down on the 4 year average of 10 tonne/ha.
- A trial at Fairlie with a number of cultivars of autumn sown dryland wheat harvested 31st January, averaged 9.9 tonne/ha which was 1 tonne/ha down on the four year average.
- A trial at Highbank with a number of cultivars of autumn sown irrigated wheat harvested 29th January, averaged 11.7, very similar to the four year average of 11.9 tonne/ha.
- A trial at Balfour with a number of cultivars of autumn sown dryland wheat harvested 29th January, averaged 8.8 tonne/ha, down on the four year average of 10.7 tonne /ha.
- A trial at Aylesbury with a number of cultivars of autumn sown irrigated wheat sown 12th June, harvested 1st February, averaged 7.8 tonne/ha down on the 4four year mean of 11.5 tonne/ha.
At a glance – Crops looking good and responding to continued hot weather. Supply tight.
No spare maize at present with the shortfall in demand being met by imported maize. With the current crop, commentators report such things as "looking spectacular," with general feedback as "plenty of heat units," "rain has been good," 'very very good crops," and "expecting good yields." With crops slightly later, given the excellent growing conditions, yield potential is expected to be good. Further to this, in some areas that have had good rain and grass growth, some crops may be diverted away from silage to grain. In some areas the acreage is similar to last year but FAR Maize Action reports that nationally the estimated maize area grown is up about 10%.
Summary of Maize Action Field Reports:
Northland: Apart from rapid weed growth, the majority of crops look very promising.
Waikato: Rain and warm, sunny days have been ideal for maize growth and most crops look promising. While crop height is generally smaller this season, cob size is generally excellent resulting in a high cob to stover ratio which should produce high energy maize silage.
Bay of Plenty: Rain and heat have been excellent and generally crops look promising.
Gisborne: Maize is looking very promising with big lush green crops.
Hawke's Bay: Hawke's Bay has been drier than other regions and unirrigated crops have suffered. However, crops have responded well to recent rain and are looking reasonable. Irrigated crops look great.
Taranaki: Many parts of Taranaki are dry again and feed shortages have led to some green chop. The drier conditions (including wind) are drying down crops quite quickly and some maize silage crops may be harvested in the next 10 to 14 days.
Manawatu: The region is getting dry again and crops on lighter soils are starting to show signs of drought stress. However, most are still developing well and further rain is predicted.
Wairarapa: Good radiation, heat and rainfall have combined to produce some exceptional looking crops. Late planted crops are still uneven due to patchy germination from the earlier dry period.
Canterbury: Recent strong winds (100km/hour) have caused some minor crop lodging but nothing significant. Nights are cooling off but crops continue to grow well.
Proteins: February 2018
|MBM||720-800||nc to +40||720-831||+33|
|Tallow||1000- 1100||nc to +125||985-1054||+54 to71|
|Lysine (kg)||4.0||nc||2.15 to 2.32||+0.01|
At a glance – Increase to some proteins.
This month porkoutlook contacts indicate upward adjustments in meat and bone meal, blood meal, fishmeal and soya oil. Slight easing in the soya meal price.
Pig meat prices: February 2018
|$/kg||trend (cents)||$/kg||trend (cents)||$/kg||trend (cents)|
|Note: Prices above relate to: Pork D1 class, Bacon H2 class|
At a glance – No change in pig meat prices. Market pressure over three short weeks.
Market contacts report that there has been pressure on the market over the three short weeks, and a spell of hot weather is putting pressure on the sale of legs and other roast pork cuts. The carcass market is reported as being "quiet" with some cutting required "to balance the demand," and "the heat is having an effect," with BBQ cuts "doing well." Other comments to describe the current market situation "the balance is tough for supply and demand as well as cuts," "nervous but positive," and "promotions help."
Some "aggressive discounting of prices" is reported as being required to move product. Other pressures on the house hold budget at this time of the year- School back, a big lotto draw, post-Christmas and holiday credit card bills have effects on all sectors of retail as well as pork purchases. Contacts indicate while there is pressure on at retail, promotions have been moving product and the expected increased uptake of pork mince and bellies during the Chinese New Year will help and provide "bit of a boost." Imports are playing a part and although the import price has increased, the imports are still very competitively priced at wholesale. Red meat - sheep meat prices are still strong and beef supply may ease due to good grass growth.
Latest stock dataPork Production Week 20 17-18
Key points to note:
- The volume imported in November was down by 13% on the previous year.
- The average price per kg at $4.81 was up by almost 20% on the same month last year.
- Frozen product dominates at over 95% of imports.
- The quantity of chilled pork mainly from the US increased (48,072 kg) from that imported in the previous 2 months (23,057 and 22,397 kg) but not as high as it had been in the months prior to September.
- Canada again dominated as the major source of imports at 32% of supply, followed by Spain at 20%.
- The supply of local pork is levelling out.